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Strategy report

Background: Today is 8 December 2009. You have just taken over from Orange team as the portfolio manager of approximately a $1.1bn portfolio of debt issued to raise funds for various clients. The previous portfolio manager (Orange) left the role suddenly and the following material has been made available to you for review, as you contemplate what needs to be done on 15 December when a range of transactions need to occur. a. Gamebook as at June 2009   b. Economic Overview: June Quarter 2009; September Quarter 2009; December Quarter 2009 c. Orange team performance report: Quarters ended September 2009 and December 2009 d. Client Transactions: 15/12/2009 e. Client Hedging requirements: 15/9/2009 and 15/12/2009 f. Borrowing rates for new advances g. Spreadsheet decision aid: 15/12/2009 Task: As the new portfolio manager your immediate task is to formulate a strategy for the 15 December when a range of transactions need to occur. On that date you will have to ensure that you have sufficient cash to pay various third‐parties, including clients who are seeking new advances, bond‐holders and derivative counter‐ parties. This is likely to involve the issue of one or more securities. You are also well aware that you are responsible for positioning the portfolio to achieve the lowest cost of funds in the future, the benefits of which you can then pass onto your clients in the form of lower borrowing costs. Finally, your clients have various commodity and foreign exchange exposures that you must manage on their behalf. Hand‐in Requirements: 1. Strategy report. In this report you need to explain the thinking behind the transactions that you plan to execute on 15 December 2009. Some of the things you should discuss include: the strategy and performance of the previous manager for the most recent two quarters; the state of the local and international economy at December 2009; a forecast for the QTC yield curve and the reasoning behind that forecast; desired positioning of the portfolio to take advantage of the forecast change to the yield curve; list of proposed portfolio transactions; a forecast for the copper price and the Australian dollar and the reasoning behind that forecast; list of proposed FX and commodity hedge transactions and the reasoning behind them. Please note that you must use at least one of each of the following transactions: Commercial Paper; Bond; Interest rate swap; Futures. 2. Portfolio and client cash flows that occur on 15 December 2009, including the underlying calculations. This should be included as an appendix to your Strategy Report. 3. Completed deal slips for the 15 December transactions. These deal slips should be scanned and included as an appendix to your Strategy Report. You must comply with all normal game rules. It is expected that your Strategy Report will be no more than ten A4 type‐written pages, including any graphs, tables and calculations, but excluding the cover page and appendices noted in (2) and (3) above. The report should be properly structured, with sections/headings where appropriate, formatted and clearly labelled with your name and student number.

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